Kusukela engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka odlule, ethinteke ngenxa yezinto ezinjengokunciphisa umthamo kanye nobudlelwane obuqinile bamazwe ngamazwe, intengo yezinto ezingavuthiwe inyukile. Ngemva konyaka omusha waseShayina, "ukwenyuka kwentengo" kuphinde kwakhuphuka, ngokwenyuka ngamaphesenti angaphezu kwangu-50...kusuka “ekukhuphukeni kwentengo” okukhuphuka nomfula Ukucindezela “kwegagasi” kudlulela ezimbonini ezisezansi nomfula futhi kunamazinga ahlukene omthelela. Izingcaphuno zezinto ezingavuthiwe ezifana nekotini, intambo kakotini, ne-polyester staple fiber embonini yendwangu zikhuphuke kakhulu. Amanani anjengokungathi asesitebhisini esiqondile. Wonke umbuthano wokuhweba ngezindwangu ugcwele izaziso zokwenyuka kwentengo. Sikholelwa ukuthi ingcindezi yokukhuphuka kwamanani entengo kakotini, intambo kakotini, intambo kakotini ye-polyester, njll. kungenzeka kwabelwane ngayo nezimboni zendwangu, izinkampani zezingubo (noma izinkampani zohwebo lwangaphandle), abathengi (okuhlanganisa nezinkampani zamabhrendi angaphandle, abathengisi) nezinye. amaqembu. Ukwenyuka kwentengo okukhulu kusixhumanisi esithile kuphela akukwazi ukuxazululwa, futhi bonke abathintekayo kutheminali badinga ukwenza izivumelwano. Ngokusho kokuhlaziywa kwabantu abaningi ezindaweni eziphezulu, ezimaphakathi neziphansi zochungechunge lwezimboni, ukunyuka kwentengo yezinto ezihlukahlukene zokusetshenziswa kulo mzuliswano kukhuphuke ngokushesha futhi kwahlala isikhathi eside. Ezinye izinto zokusetshenziswa ezikhuphuke ngobudlova "zisekelwe esikhathini", zifinyelela imvamisa ephezulu yokulungiswa kwentengo ekuseni nantambama. . Kubikezelwa ukuthi lo mzuliswano wokwenyuka kwamanani ezinto zokusetshenziswa ezihlukahlukene uwukwenyuka kwentengo okuhlelekile ochungechungeni lwemboni, okuhambisana nokungatholakali okwanele kwezinto zokusetshenziswa ezikhuphuka nomfula neziphezulu, ezingase ziqhubeke isikhathi esithile.

Spandexamanani enyuke cishe ngo-80%

Ngemva kweholide elide loMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo, intengo ye-spandex yaqhubeka ikhuphuka. Ngokolwazi lwakamuva lokuqapha amanani, intengo yakamuva yama-yuan/ton angama-55,000 kuya ku-57,000 yuan/ton ngoFebhuwari 22, intengo ye-spandex yenyuka cishe ngo-30% phakathi nenyanga, futhi uma iqhathaniswa nenani eliphansi ngo-August 2020, intengo ye-spandex. i-spandex ikhuphuke Cishe ngama-80%. Ngokusho kokuhlaziywa kochwepheshe abafanelekile, intengo ye-spandex yaqala ukukhuphuka ngo-Agasti ngonyaka odlule, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokwanda okukhulu kwesidingo esingaphansi komfula, kanye nenani eliphansi lamabhizinisi okukhiqiza ngokujwayelekile, kanye nokunikezwa kwemikhiqizo kwaba ngamafuphi. hlinzeka. Ngaphezu kwalokho, intengo ye-PTMEG, impahla eluhlaza yokukhiqiza i-spandex, nayo ikhuphuke kakhulu ngemva koMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo. Intengo yamanje ngethani ngalinye idlule amayuan angu-26,000, okukhuthaze ukukhuphuka kwentengo ye-spandex ngezinga elithile. I-Spandex iyifayibha enwebeka kakhulu enobude obuphezulu kanye nokumelana nokukhathala okuhle. Isetshenziswa kakhulu ezindwangu nasezimpahleni. Engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, inani elikhulu lama-oda endwangu aphesheya adluliselwe eShayina, okwakha umfutho omkhulu embonini yasekhaya ye-spandex. Isidingo esinamandla siqhube intengo ye-spandex ukuthi inyuke kulo mzuliswano.

Njengamanje, amabhizinisi e-spandex aqale ukwakhiwa ngaphansi komthwalo omkhulu, kodwa ukunikezwa kwesikhashana kwemikhiqizo ye-spandex kusenzima ukudambisa. Ezinye zezinkampani ezihamba phambili zaseShayina ze-spandex zonke zilungiselela ukwakha amandla amasha okukhiqiza, kodwa la makhono amasha okukhiqiza awakwazi ukuqaliswa esikhathini esifushane. Ukwakhiwa kuzoqala ngasekupheleni kuka-2021. Ochwepheshe bathi ngaphezu kobudlelwane bokunikezela nesidingo, ukukhuphuka kwentengo yezinto zokusetshenziswa ezikhuphuka nomfula kukhuthaze ukukhuphuka kwentengo ye-spandex ngezinga elithile. Izinto ezingavuthiwe eziqondile ze-spandex yi-PTMEG. Intengo inyuke cishe ngo-20% kusukela ngoFebhuwari. Ukunikezwa kwakamuva kufinyelele ku-26,000 yuan/ton. Lokhu ukusabela kochungechunge okwakhiwa ukwenyuka kwentengo ye-BDO ekhuphukayo. Ngomhla zingama-23 kuNhlolanja, okunikezwayo kwakamuva kwe-BDO bekungamayuan angama-26,000. /Ton, inyuke ngo-10.64% kunosuku lwangaphambilini. Ethintwa yilokhu, amanani entengo ye-PTMEG ne-spandex awakwazi ukumiswa.

Ukotinizishintshiwe zaba ngu--20.27%

Kusukela ngomhla zingama-25 kuNhlolanja, intengo yasekhaya engu-3218B yayingu-16,558 yuan/ton, okuwukunyuka kwama-yuan angama-446 ngezinsuku ezinhlanu nje. Ukwenyuka kwamanani ngokushesha kwakamuva kungenxa yokuthuthukiswa kwesimo semakethe enkulu. Ngemuva kokuthi ubhubhane e-United States selulawulekile, umfutho wezomnotho kulindeleke ukuthi ubuyele emuva, intengo kakotini wase-US inyukile, futhi isidingo esingaphansi komfula sikhulile. Ngenxa yombiko omuhle wokuhlinzekwa nokufunwa ngoFebhuwari, ukuthengiswa kukakotini wase-US kwahlala kuqinile futhi isidingo sikakotini emhlabeni wonke saqala kabusha, amanani kakotini wase-US aqhubeka nokukhuphuka. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, amabhizinisi endwangu aqale ukusebenza ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka kanye nomunye umjikelezo wokugcwalisa ngemuva kokuthi uMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo ukhuphule isidingo sama-oda. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, amanani entengo yezinto zokusetshenziswa kwendwangu eziningi ezifana ne-polyester staple fiber, inayiloni kanye ne-spandex emakethe yasekhaya akhuphukile, okube nomthelela ekwenyukeni kwamanani kakotini. Emazweni omhlaba, ukukhiqizwa kukakotini wase-US ngo-2020/21 kuzoncishiswa kakhulu. Ngokombiko wakamuva we-USDA, ukukhiqizwa kukakotini wase-US kulo nyaka kwehle cishe ngamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.08 uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule kwafinyelela kumathani ayizigidi ezi-3.256. I-USDA Outlook Forum yandise kakhulu ukusetshenziswa kukakotini emhlabeni wonke kanye nokukhiqizwa okuphelele ngo-2021/22, yaphinde yehlisa kakhulu isitoko sokugcina ukotini emhlabeni jikelele. Phakathi kwazo, isidingo sikakotini emazweni amakhulu endwangu anjenge China neNdiya saphinde saphakanyiswa. UMnyango Wezolimo wase-US uzokhipha indawo esemthethweni yokutshala ukotini ngoMashi 31. Inqubekelaphambili yokutshala ukotini yaseBrazil isalele emuva, futhi izibikezelo zokukhiqiza ziyehliswa. Ukukhiqizwa kukakotini eNdiya kulindeleke ukuthi kube amabhala ayizigidi ezingu-28.5, ukwehla konyaka ngonyaka ngamabhala angu-500,000, ukukhiqizwa kweChina kwamabhala ayizigidi ezingu-27.5, ukwehla konyaka nonyaka ngamabhala ayizigidi ezingu-1.5, ukukhiqizwa kwePakistan ngamabhala ayizigidi ezingu-5.8, ukwanda amabhala ayizigidi ezingu-1,3, kanti eNtshonalanga Afrika ukukhiqizwa kwamabhala ayizigidi ezingu-5.3, okuwukwanda kwezi-500 000 amabhala. .

Mayelana nekusasa, ikusasa likakotini we-ICE likhuphuke lafika ezingeni eliphakeme kakhulu eminyakeni engaphezu kwemibili nengxenye. Izinto ezinjengokuthuthuka okuqhubekayo kwesidingo, ukuncintisana komhlaba ngokusanhlamvu nokotini, kanye nethemba emakethe yangaphandle kwaqhubeka nokubangela ukuqagela. Ngomhla zingama-25 kuNhlolanja, inkontileka enkulu kaZheng Mian ethi 2105 yagqashuka yafinyelela ku-17,000 yuan/ton. Imakethe kakotini yasekhaya isesigabeni sokululama kancane kancane, futhi umdlandla ongezansi wokuthola okunikezwayo awuphezulu. Isizathu esiyinhloko ukuthi intengo yokunikezwa kwezinsiza zikakotini ikhuphuke kakhulu futhi izinkampani zezintambo ngokwazo zinezindawo zokugcina zangaphambi kweholide. Kulindeleke ukuthi ukuthengiselana ezimakethe kancane kancane kubuyele kwesijwayelekile ngemuva koMkhosi weLantern. Kusukela maphakathi no-February, izintambo zikakotini e-Jiangsu, e-Henan, nase-Shandong zikhuphuke zafinyelela ku-500-1000 yuan/ton, futhi izintambo zikakotini ezinamakhadi nezikanyiwe zika-50S nangaphezulu ngokuvamile zikhuphuke ngo-1000-1300 yuan/ton. Njengamanje, izimboni zendwangu kakotini ezifuywayo, Izinga lokuqalisa kabusha kwezinkampani zezindwangu nezingubo zokugqoka selibuyele ku-80-90%, futhi izigayo zezintambo ezimbalwa seziqalile ukubuza nokuthenga izinto ezingavuthiwe ezifana ne-cotton ne-polyester staple fiber. Ngokufika kwama-oda okuhweba ngaphakathi nangaphandle kusukela ngoMashi kuya ku-Ephreli, kusenezinkontileka okufanele zisheshiswe ngaphambi kweholide. Isekelwa imakethe yangaphandle kanye nezinto eziyisisekelo, i-ICE kanye no-Zheng Mian baphinde bavuma. Izinkampani zokweluka nezingubo eziwela phansi kanye nezimboni zezingubo kulindeleke ukuthi zithenge kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari kuya ekuqaleni kukaMashi. Izingcaphuno zentambo kakotini kanye nentambo ye-polyester-cotton zikhuphuke kakhulu. Ingcindezi yokukhula kwezindleko idinga ukusheshiselwa kumatheminali angezansi komfula.

Abahlaziyi bebhizinisi bakholelwa ukuthi amanani kakotini asekhaya abelokhu ekhuphuka yonke indlela kumongo wezinto eziningi ezinhle. Njengoba isizini ephezulu yemboni yendwangu yasekhaya iza, imakethe ivame ukuba nethemba mayelana nokubukeka kwemakethe, kodwa kuyadingeka futhi ukuqaphela umthelela womqhele omusha kanye nengcindezi elethwa umdlandla wokuthi imakethe ijahe ukukhuphuka. .

Intengo yei-polyesterintambo iyakhuphuka

Ezinsukwini ezimbalwa kuphela emva kokuvulwa kweholide, intengo ye-polyester filaments ikhuphukile. Ngenxa yomthelela wobhubhane olusha lwe-coronary pneumonia, kusukela ngoFebhuwari 2020, intengo ye-polyester filament yaqala ukwehla, futhi yehlela phansi ngo-April 20. Kusukela lapho, ibilokhu iguquguquka ngezinga eliphansi futhi ibilokhu izulazula intengo ephansi kakhulu emlandweni isikhathi eside. Kusukela engxenyeni yesibili ka-2020, ngenxa “yokwehla kwamandla emali kwamanye amazwe”, amanani entengo yezinto zokusetshenziswa ezihlukahlukene emakethe yendwangu aseqalile ukukhuphuka. Imicu ye-polyester ikhuphuke ngaphezu kuka-yuan/ton, imicu ye-viscose ikhuphuke ngo-1,000 yuan/ton, kanti imicu ye-acrylic staple inyukile. 400 yuan/ton. Ngokwezibalo ezingaphelele, kusukela ngo-February, ngenxa yokwenyuka okuqhubekayo kwamanani entengo yezinto ezingavuthiwe, cishe izinkampani eziyikhulu sezihlangene zamemezela ukwenyuka kwamanani, okuhilela inqwaba yezinto ezibonakalayo zemicu yamakhemikhali njenge-viscose, intambo ye-polyester, i-spandex, inayiloni, nodayi. Kusukela ngo-February 20 kulo nyaka, izintambo ze-polyester filament ziye zaphinde zafika eduze nendawo ephansi ka-2019. Uma i-rebound iqhubeka, izofinyelela inani elivamile lentambo ye-polyester eminyakeni edlule.

Uma sibheka izingcaphuno zamanje ze-PTA ne-MEG, izinto zokusetshenziswa eziyinhloko zezintambo ze-polyester, ngaphansi kwesizinda sokuthi amanani kawoyela wamazwe ngamazwe abuyela kumadola aseMelika angama-60, sisekhona isikhala sekhotheshini yesikhathi esizayo ye-PTA ne-MEG. Kungahlulelwa kulokhu ukuthi intengo kasilika we-polyester isenethuba lokukhuphuka.